Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.178564 0.190350 0.202688 0.216596 0.231875 0.248191 0.266985
2025-06-08 0.153593 0.170859 0.190057 0.213136 0.240329 0.271605 0.310670
2025-06-15 0.140055 0.160894 0.185160 0.215857 0.254163 0.301098 0.364092
2025-06-22 0.126546 0.148818 0.175652 0.210928 0.256955 0.316274 0.400785
2025-06-29 0.114775 0.137411 0.165410 0.203346 0.254647 0.323573 0.426867
2025-07-06 0.105616 0.128343 0.157081 0.197034 0.252765 0.330453 0.452357
2025-07-13 0.101492 0.125275 0.156059 0.200056 0.263541 0.355749 0.508250
2025-07-20 0.097773 0.122381 0.154904 0.202573 0.273549 0.380720 0.567278
2025-07-27 0.093987 0.119083 0.152868 0.203509 0.281081 0.402481 0.624297
2025-08-03 0.089979 0.115200 0.149696 0.202422 0.285235 0.419079 0.674793
2025-08-10 0.085982 0.111085 0.145896 0.200027 0.286969 0.431648 0.719740
2025-08-17 0.081580 0.106162 0.140632 0.194983 0.283889 0.435453 0.748000
2025-08-24 0.078009 0.102339 0.136884 0.192217 0.284640 0.446676 0.794927
2025-08-31 0.074867 0.099005 0.133702 0.190161 0.286476 0.460256 0.850295
2025-09-07 0.073188 0.097701 0.133457 0.192746 0.296505 0.490456 0.950271
2025-09-14 0.069962 0.093962 0.129298 0.188612 0.294170 0.496183 0.993334
2025-09-21 0.066403 0.089578 0.123939 0.182142 0.287028 0.491358 1.008850
2025-09-28 0.063329 0.085809 0.119369 0.176732 0.281413 0.489054 1.030694
2025-10-05 0.062295 0.085075 0.119506 0.179328 0.291029 0.520092 1.151869
2025-10-12 0.061224 0.084230 0.119411 0.181488 0.299977 0.550975 1.283086
2025-10-19 0.059926 0.082977 0.118588 0.182291 0.306296 0.576834 1.408256
2025-10-26 0.058347 0.081224 0.116865 0.181358 0.309003 0.594598 1.513517
2025-11-02 0.056633 0.079196 0.114603 0.179304 0.309205 0.606323 1.602301